Market hub · wins only Elections
Midterm margin of victory on Kalshi.
11 verified wins in this market: every settled market in this series where KalshiSpy's roster — verified, ID-checked Kalshi accounts with positive lifetime profit — held the side that paid out, for $19,277 net realized on those wins since Nov 4, 2026. Every market and every name here is verifiable on kalshi.com ↗
- Settled wins
- 11
- Net realized on these wins
- $19,277
- Verified traders who won here
- 3
- Latest win
- Nov 4, 2026
- First win in the archive
- Nov 4, 2026
- Category
- Elections
Who won here.
- Rank 1 @Scottaholic7 wins here · verified on kalshi.com+$16K
- Rank 2 @YoungGriff5 wins here · verified on kalshi.com+$3K
- Rank 3 @heforgotpoland1 win here · verified on kalshi.com+$51
Every win, newest first
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Herrera, 5+ ptsElections Settled NO · Nov 4, 2026 2 traders on the winning side+$486net profit
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 0.5 percentage points?Ken Paxton, 0.5+ ptsElections Settled NO · Nov 4, 2026 1 trader on the winning side+$891net profit
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?Ken Paxton, 1+ ptsElections Settled NO · Nov 4, 2026 1 trader on the winning side+$2Knet profit
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 1.5 percentage points?Ken Paxton, 1.5+ ptsElections Settled NO · Nov 4, 2026 1 trader on the winning side+$48net profit
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 2 percentage points?Ken Paxton, 2+ ptsElections Settled NO · Nov 4, 2026 2 traders on the winning side+$835net profit
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?Ken Paxton, 3+ ptsElections Settled NO · Nov 4, 2026 1 trader on the winning side+$5Knet profit
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 4 percentage points?Ken Paxton, 4+ ptsElections Settled NO · Nov 4, 2026 1 trader on the winning side+$1Knet profit
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 5 percentage points?Ken Paxton, 5+ ptsElections Settled NO · Nov 4, 2026 1 trader on the winning side+$6Knet profit
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 6 percentage points?Ken Paxton, 6+ ptsElections Settled NO · Nov 4, 2026 1 trader on the winning side+$262net profit
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 7 percentage points?Ken Paxton, 7+ ptsElections Settled NO · Nov 4, 2026 1 trader on the winning side+$2Knet profit
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 9 percentage points?Ken Paxton, 9+ ptsElections Settled NO · Nov 4, 2026 1 trader on the winning side+$20net profit
More Elections markets
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Unlock the live feed →Wins only: the archive records markets where roster traders held the side that paid out, with positive net realized profit. It is not a hit rate. The whole archive · Top Kalshi traders